 |
Prof. Dr. Thomas HeckeleiPhone: +49-228-732332 |
Research interests
| Analysis of agricultural and environmental policies |
| Agricultural sector and trade modelling |
| Bayesian and applied econometrics |
Academic education
| 2002 | Habilitation, University of Bonn |
| 1995 | Ph.D. Agricultural Economics and Economics at Washington State University, Pullman, August 1995 |
| 1991 | "Diplom" in Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology at University of Bonn |
| 1990 | Masters of Arts in Agricultural Economics at Washington State University, Pullman, 1990 |
Academic positions
| 2020 - today | Dean for the Faculty of Agriculture, University of Bonn |
| 2003 - today | Professor for Economic and Agricultural Policy, Institute for Food and Resource Economics (ILR), University of Bonn |
| 2002 - 2003 | Assistant Professor at IMPACT Center/ Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Washington State University |
| 1995 - 2002 | Assistant Professor ("Hochschulassistent") Institute for Agricultural Policy, Market Research, and Economic Sociology, University of Bonn |
Teaching
Current courses in bachelor program:
Agrar- und Umweltpolitik (Teilbereich Agrarpolitik)
Ökonomie III (Teilbereich Politik)
Current courses in master program:
Special Project in Agricultural and Development Policy
Current courses in doctoral program
Advanced Applied Econometrics (doctoral program version)
Machine learning in applied economics
Previously taught
Advanced Applied Econometrics: master program version (University of Bonn)
Angewandte Mikroökonomik „Neoklassik“ (University of Bonn)
Applied Trade Theory and Policy (University of Bonn)
European and International Agricultural Policy (University of Bonn)
Introduction to Econometrics (Washington State University)
Microeconomics (University of Bonn)
Nutzpflanzen, Nutztiere und ihre ökonomische Bedeutung: Teilbereich Ökonomie
(University of Bonn)
Politik und Märkte der Ernährungswirtschaft: Teilbereich Politik (University of
Bonn)
Policy Analysis Seminar (University of Bonn)
Publishing and Writing in Agricultural Economics (doctoral program)
Quantitative Methods in Ag-Business (Washington State University)
Research Seminar in Agricultural and Development Policy (University of Bonn)
Doctoral research supervision (only main advisor cases)
| Schröder, Lilli Aline | Quantitative modelling of the Rural Development Programs of the Common Agricultural Policy - EU-wide and region-specific effects, 2020 |
| Amrouk, El Mamoun | Price dynamics and interaction of international cash crop and staple food markets, 2020 |
| Gebrekidan, Bisrat | Modelling the dynamics of land use & intensification in the Haile Kilombero Valley, Tanzania, 2020 |
| Götze, Franziska | Demand for organic food in Switzerland, 2019 |
| Khalili, Hamed | Spatial competition of learning agents in agricultural procurement markets, 2019 |
| Bassey, Nkoyo Etim | Post-harvest losses in Sub-Saharan Africa – measurement concepts and economic assessment of reduction strategies, 2018 |
| Zhang, Yinan | Conceptualising and estimating rationalised agricultural optimisation models, 2018 |
| Zavelberg, Yvonne | Imperfect competition in an oligopsonistic setting - A study on the German raw milk market, 2016 |
| Rasch, Sebastian | Resilience, collapse and reorganization of a rangeland socio- ecological system in South Africa, 2016 |
| Huseynov, Rashad | Welfare and Economy-Wide Effects of Azerbaijan’s Accession to the World Trade Organization: A Quantitative Assessment, 2015 |
| Grosche, Stephanie | Price effects from the financialization of agricultural commodity markets, 2015 |
| Storm, Hugo | Methods of analysis and empirical evidence of farm structural change, 2014 |
| Kempen, Markus | EU wide analysis of the Common Agricultural Policy using spatially disaggregated data, 2013 |
| Götz, Christian | Economic incentives of the WTO dispute settlement system with an empirical focus on the agro-food sector, 2012 |
| Zimmermann, Andrea | Empirical analysis of farm structural change at EU level, 2012 |
| Annen, Dominic N. | Farm Animal Welfare: Measurement and Compliance, 2012 |
| Schlüter, Simon W. | Impact of regulatory measures on international trade in meat products, 2012 |
| Adenäuer, Lucie | Foreign Direct Investment in the Agribusiness Sector, 2011 |
| Becker, Arno | Impact of European bioful policies on global bioful and agricultural markets, 2011 |
| Doerr, Rainer | Agrarpolitische Willensbildung in Deutschland, in der Europäischen Union und auf internationaler Ebene, 2009 |
| Heidecke, Claudia | Economic analysis of water use and management in the Middle Drâa valley of Morocco, 2009 |
| Gocht, Alexander | Methods in Economic Farm Modelling, 2009 |
| Junker, Franziska | Trade liberalisation between the EU and the Mercosur countries: An economic assessment for the case of beef, 2009 |
| Gruber, Ina | The Impact of Socio-Economic Development and Climate Change on Livestock Management in Benin, 2008 |
| Jansson, Torbjoern | Econometric specification of constrained optimization models, 2007 |
| Adenäuer, Marcel | Modelling the European Sugar Sector - Incentives to Supply Sugar Beets and Analysis of Reform Options, 2006 |
| Wieck, Christine | Development of Marginal Cost Distributions in Dairy Production Regions of the EU, 2005 |
| Bauer, Kai | EU-Enlargement: Perspectives for Agriculture and Rural Areas in Major Accession Countries, 2005 |
| Bilame, Odass | Performance and Prospects of Agriculture during Structural Adjustment Programmes in Tanzania, 2003 |
Peer review
| Agricultural Economics |
| Agricultural Economics Review |
| American Journal of Agricultural Economics |
| Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) |
| Environmental & Resource Economics |
| Environmental Modelling & Software |
| Environmental Modelling & Assessment |
| European Journal of Operational Research |
| European Research Council (ERC) |
| European Review of Agricultural Economics |
| German Journal of Agricultural Economics |
| International Trade and Development |
| Journal of Agricultural Economics |
| Journal of Policy Modelling |
| Leibniz-Gemeinschaft |
| Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der wissenschaftlichen Forschung (SNF) |
Honors, professional service and association membership
| Stipend of the "Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft" in support of research on Positive Mathematical Programming Models, 2000/2001 |
| Scholarship of the German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) for participation in Ph.D. program at WSU, 1992/93 |
| Outstanding graduation award for best Diploma in Agricultural Economics, University of Bonn, Spring 1991 |
| Exchange scholarship between Washington State University and University of Bonn (Fall 1989 and Spring 1990) |
| Award for excellence in teaching, Agricultural Faculty at the University of Bonn, 2013 |
| Award for excellence in teaching, University of Bonn, 2015 |
| Board member of the International Agricultural Trade Research Council (IATRC, 2007 – 2009) |
| Chair of the Taiwanese-German Association for Economic and Social Research since 2007 |
| Editor of the European Review of Agricultural Economics (until December 2011) |
| American Agricultural Economics Association (AAEA) |
| European Association of Agricultural Economist (EAAE) |
| German Association of Agricultural Economist (GeWiSoLa) |
| Vice dean for research and young researchers, Agricultural Faculty of the University of Bonn (2013 – 2016) |
| Chair of the EAAEP Foundation since 2012 |
| DFG Fachkollegiat since April 2016 |
Selected Publications (download):
Amrouk, E. M., Grosche, S., Heckelei, T. (2019):
Interdependence between cash crop and staple food international prices across periods of varying financial market stress
Applied Economics: pp. 1-16
Neuenfeldt, S., Gocht, A., Heckelei, T., Ciaian, P. (2019):
Explaining farm structural change in the European agriculture: a novel analytical framework
European Review of Agricultural Economics 46(5): 713-768
Saint-Cyr, L. D. F., Storm, H., Heckelei, T., Piet, L. (2019):
Heterogeneous impacts of neighbouring farm size on the decision to exit: evidence from Brittany
European Review of Agricultural Economics Volume 46(2): 237-266
Storm, H., Baylis, K., Heckelei, T. (2019):
Machine learning in agricultural and applied economics
European Review of Agricultural Economics jbz033: pp. 1-44
Rutten, M., Achterbosch, T., de Boer, I., Crespo Cuaresma, J., Geleijnse, M., Havlik, P., Heckelei, T., Ingram, J. S., Leip, A., Marette, S., van Meijl, H., Soler, L.-G., Swinnen, J. F., van’t Veer, P., Vervoort, J., Zimmermann, A., Zimmermann, K., Zurek, M. (2018):
Metrics, models and foresight for European sustainable food and nutrition security: the vision of the SUSFANS Project
Agricultural Systems 163: 45-57
Storm, H., Heckelei, T. (2018):
Reducing omitted-variable bias in spatial-interaction models by considering multiple neighbourhoods
Spatial Economic Analysis
Rasch, S., Heckelei, T., Storm, H., Oomen, R. and Naumann, C. (2017):
Multi-scale resilience of a communal rangeland system in South Africa
Ecological Economics 131: 129-138
Woldeyohanes, T. B., Heckelei, T. and Surry, Y. (2017):
Effect of off-farm income on smallholder commercialization: panel evidencefrom rural households in Ethiopia
Agricultural Economics 48(2):
Espinosa, M., Gocht, A., Heckelei, T., Gomez y Paloma, S. (2016):
Incorporating farm structural change in models assessing the Common Agricultural Policy: an application in the CAPRI farm type model
Journal of Policy Modeling 38(6): 1040–1059
Götze, F., Mann, S., Ferjani, A., Kohler, A., Heckelei, T. (2016):
Explaining market shares of organic food: evidence from Swiss household data
British Food Journal 118(4): 931 - 945
Heckelei, T., Zavelberg, Y., Wieck, C. (2016):
Entry deterring effects of contractual relations in the dairy processing sector
Bio-based and Applied Economics 5(1): 83-98
Rasch, S., Heckelei, T., Oomen, R. (2016):
Reorganizing resource use in a communal livestock productionsocio-ecological system in South Africa
Land Use Policy 52: 221–231
Rasch, S., Heckelei, T., Oomen, R. and Naumann, C. (2016):
Cooperation and collapse in a communal livestock production SES model – A case from South Africa
Environmental Modelling & Software 75: 402-413
Storm, H., Heckelei, T. and Mittelhammer, R. (2016):
Bayesian estimation of non-stationary Markov models combining micro and macro data
European Review of Agricultural Economics 43(2): 303-329.
Storm, H., Heckelei, T., Espinosa, M. and Gomez y Paloma, S. (2015):
Short Term Prediction of Agricultural Structural Change using Farm Accountancy Data Network and Farm Structure Survey Data
German Journal of Agricultural Economics 64(3): 163-174
Storm, H., Mittenzwei, K. and Heckelei, T. (2015):
Direct Payments, Spatial Competition, and Farm Survival in Norway
American Journal of Agricultural Economics 97(4): 1192-1205
Podhora, A., K. Helming, L. Adenäuer, T. Heckelei, P. Kautto, P. Reidsma, K. Rennings, J. Turnpenny and J. Jansen (2013):
The policy-relevancy of impact assessment tools: Evaluating nine years of European research funding
Environmental Science & Policy 31: 85-95
Heckelei, T., W. Britz and Y. Zhang (2012):
Positive Mathematical Programming Approaches – Recent Developments in Literature and Applied Modelling
Bio-based and Applied Economics 1(1): 109-124
Britz, W., M. Van Ittersum, A. Oude Lansink and T. Heckelei (2012):
Tools for Integrated Assessment in Agriculture. State of the Art and Challenges
Bio-based and Applied Economics 1: 125-150
Heckelei, T. and J. Swinnen (2012):
Introduction to the Special Issue of the World Trade Review on ‘standards and non-tariff barriers in trade’
World Trade Review 11(3): 353-355
Zimmermann, A. and T. Heckelei (2012):
Structural Change of European Dairy Farms - A Cross-regional Analysis
Journal of Agricultural Economics 63(3): 576-603
Junker, F. and T. Heckelei (2012):
TRQ-complications: who gets the benefits when the EU liberalizes Mercosur's access to the beef markets?
Agricultural Economics 43(2): 215-231
Hugo Storm, Thomas Heckelei und Claudia Heidecke (2011):
Estimating Irrigation Water Demand in the Moroccan Drâa Valley using Contingent Valuation
Journal of Environmental Management 92(10): 2803–2809
Ewert, F., M. Van Ittersum, T. Heckelei, O. Therond, I. Bezlepkina and E. Andersen (2011):
Scale changes and model linking methods for integrated assessment of agri-environmental systems
Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 142(1-2): 6-17
Adenäuer, L. and T. Heckelei (2011):
Foreign Direct Investment and the Performance of European Agribusiness Firms
Journal of Agricultural Economics 62(3): 639-654
Jansson, T. and T. Heckelei (2011):
Estimating a Primal Model of Regional Crop Supply in the European Union
Journal of Agricultural Economics 62(1): 137-152
Kempen, M., B.S. Elbersen, I. Staritsky, E. Andersen and T. Heckelei (2011):
Spatial allocation of farming systems and farming indicators in Europe
Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 142(1-2): 51-62
Heckelei, T. (2010):
Publishing as an Agricultural Economist: Thoughts on Why, Where and How
German Journal of Agricultural Economics 59(3): 133-143
Louhichi, K., A. Kanellopoulos, S. Janssen, G. Flichmann, M. Blanco, H. Hengsdijk., T. Heckelei, P. Berentsen, A. Oude Lansink, and M. Van Ittersum (2010):
FSSIM, a bio-economic farm model for simulating the response of EU farming systems to agricultural and environmental policies
Agricultural Systems 103(8):585-597
Wolff, H., T. Heckelei. and R. Mittelhammer (2010):
Imposing Curvature and Monotonicity on Flexible Functional Forms: An Efficient Regional Approach
Computational Economics 36(4):309-339
Kanellopoulos, A., P. Berentsen, T. Heckelei, M. van Ittersum and A. Oude Lansink (2010):
Assessing the Forecasting Performance of a Generic Bio-Economic
Farm Model Calibrated With Two Different PMP Variants
Journal of Agricultural Economics 61(2):274-294
Heidecke, C. and T. Heckelei (2010):
Impacts of changing water inflow
distributions on irrigation and farm income along the Drâa River in Morocco
Agricultural Economics 41(2):135 - 149
Götz, C., T. Heckelei and B. Rudloff (2010):
What makes countries initiate WTO disputes on food-related issues?
Food Policy 35(2):154-162
Schlüter, S. W., C. Wieck and T. Heckelei (2009):
Regulatory Policy in Meat Trade: Is there Evidence for Least Trade-distorting Sanitary Regulations?
American Journal of Agricultural Economics 91(5):1484-1490
Therond, O., H. Belhouchette, S. Janssen, K. Louhichi, F. Ewert, J.-E. Bergez, J. Wery,
T. Heckelei, J. Alkan Olsson, D. Leenhardt and M. Van Ittersum (2009):
Methodology to translate policy assessment problems into scenarios:
the example of the SEAMLESS integrated framework
Environmental Science & Policy 12(5):619-630
Zimmermann, A., T. Heckelei and I. Pèrez Dominguez (2009):
Modelling farm structural change for integrated ex-ante assessment:
review of methods and determinants
Environmental Science & Policy 12(5):601-618
Pèrez Dominguez, I., I. Bezlepkina, T. Heckelei, E. Romstad, A. Oude Lansink and A. Kanellopoulos (2009):
Capturing market impacts of farm level policies:
a statistical extrapolation approach using biophysical characteristics and farm resources
Environmental Science & Policy 12(5):588-600
Jansson, T., and T. Heckelei, (2009):
A new estimator for trade costs and its small sample properties
Economic Modelling 26(2):489-498
Van Ittersum, M.K., F. Ewert, T. Heckelei J. Wery, J. Alkan Olsson,
E. Andersen, I. Bezlepinka, F. Brouwer, M. Donatelli, G. Flichmann, L. Olsson, A. E. Rizzoli, T. van der Wal, J. E. Wien, J. Wolf (2008):
Integrated assessment of agricultural systems –
A component-based framework for the European Union (SEAMLESS)
Agricultural Systems 96(1-3):150-165
Wieck, C., and T. Heckelei (2007):
Determinants, Differentiation, and Development
of Short-term Marginal Costs in Dairy production: An Empirical Analysis for Selected Regions of the EU)
Agricultural Economics 36(2):202-220
Britz, W., T. Heckelei and I. Pérez (2006):
Effects of Decoupling on Land Use: An EU wide, regionally differentiated Analysis
Agrarwirtschaft 55(5/6):215-226
Chaddad, F., M. L. Cook, and T. Heckelei (2005):
Testing for the Presence of Financial Constraints
in U.S. Agricultural Cooperatives: An Investment Behavior Approach
Journal of Agricultural Economics 56(3):385-97
Hill, B., A. Greer, T. Heckelei, and P. Witzke (2004):
Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries. In:
H. Compston (ed.), Handbook of Public Policy in Europe –Britain, France and Germany, Palgrave McMillan
Pages 175-193
Chouinard, H., R. Huffaker, T. Heckelei, and T.I. Wahl (2004):
The Marriage between Humanitarian Assistance and Agricultural Interests
in U.S. Overseas Aid Programs: Reconcilable Differences?
Journal of Humanitarian Assistance
Briand, G., T. Heckelei, S. C. Matulich, and R.C. Mittelhammer (2004):
Managing Fishing Power: The Case of Alaska Red King Crab
Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 61(1):43-53.
Heckelei T., and H. Wolff (2003):
Estimation of Constrained Optimisation Models for
Agricultural Supply Analysis Based on Generalised Maximum Entropy
European Review of Agricultural Economics 30(1):27-50.
Britz, W., T. Heckelei, and H. Wolff (2003):
Symmetric Positive Equilibrium Problem: A Framework for Rationalizing Economic Behavior
with Limited Information: Comment
American Journal of Agricultural Economics 85(4):1078-1081
Heckelei, T., and R. C. Mittelhammer (2003):
Bayesian Bootstrap Multivariate Regression
Journal of Econometrics112(2):241-264>
Heckelei, T. (2002):
Calibration and Estimation of Programming Models for Agricultural Supply Analysis.
Habilitation Thesis, University of Bonn, Germany
Heckelei, T., and W. Britz (2001):
Concept and Explorative Application of an EU-wide Regional Agricultural Sector Model (CAPRI-Project). In:
Heckelei, T., H.P. Witzke, and W. Henrichsmeyer (Eds.): Agricultural Sector Modelling and Policy Information Systems.
Proceedings of the 65th EAAE Seminar, March 29-31, 2000 at Bonn University, Vauk Verlag Kiel
Pages 281-290.
Heckelei, T., and W. Britz (2000):
Positive Mathematical Programming with Multiple Data Points:
A Cross-Sectional Estimation Procedure.
Cahiers d'Economie et Sociologie Rurales 57(4):28-50.
Heckelei, T., and R. C. Mittelhammer (1996):
Bayesian Bootstrap Inference via Regression Structure Likelihood. In:
T.B.Fomby and R.C. Hill (eds.): Advances in Econometrics, Vol. 11A
Pages 179-209
Heckelei, T., R. C. Mittelhammer and T. I. Wahl (1996):
Evaluation of Equality and Inequality Restrictions for a Meat Demand System:
A Robust Bayesian Bootstrap Approach
Proceedings of the North American Meeting of the International Society for Bayesian Analysis, Chicago
Witzke, H.P., Heckelei, T. (1996):
Adjustment Cost and Partial Adjustment Models for German Agriculture. In:
Märkte der Agrar-und Ernährungswirtschaft, Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften
des Landbaues,Münster-Hiltrup, Band 33
Pages 125-137
Heckelei, T. (1995):
Robust Bayesian Estimation of Econometric Models: Theory and Application
Ph.D. Thesis, Washington State University
Last updated: Tuesday, April 05, 2022
News
Hans H. Ruthenberg-Graduate-Award winner 2022: Eva Salve Tino Bacud
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Petition „Cercedilla manifesto: Research meetings must be more sustainable“
Podcast series "Navigating Interdisciplinarity"
Recent publications
- Research meetings must be more sustainable Sanz-Cobena, A., Alessandrini, R., Bodirsky, B. L., Springmann, M., Aguilera, E., Amon, B., Bartolini, F., Geupel, M., Grizzetti, B., Kugelberg, S., Latka, C., Liang, X., Milford, A. B., Musinguzi, P., Ng, E. L., Suter, H., Leip, A. (2020): Nature Food 1: 187-189.Climate change impacts on European arable crop yields: Sensitivity to assumptions about rotations and residue management Faye, B., Webber, H., Gaiser, T., Müller, C., Zhang, Y., Stella, T., Latka, C., Reckling, M., Heckelei, T., Helming, K., Ewert, F. (2022): European Journal of Agronomy 142 (2023)(126670): 13 pagesModeling intensification decisions in the Kilombero Valley floodplain: A Bayesian belief network approach Gebrekidan, B. H., Heckelei, T., Rasch, S. (2022): Agricultural Economics 2022(agec.12740): 1-21Assessing inequality and poverty in long-term projections of economic growth: A general equilibrium analysis for six developing countries Britz, W., Jafari, Y., Nekhay, O., Roson, R. (2022): Economic Modelling 117(106066): 18 pagesCompeting for food waste – Policies’ market feedbacks imply sustainability tradeoffs Latka, C., Parodi, A., van Hal, O., Heckelei, T., Leip, A., Witzke, H.-P., van Zanten, H. (2022): Resources, Conservation and Recycling 186(106545): 11 pagesCOVID-19 and changes in global agri-food trade Engemann, H., Jafari, Y. (2022): Q Open 2(1 (qoac013)): 1-26Institutional quality and the duration of agri-food trade flows Engemann, H., Jafari, Y., Heckelei, T. (2022): Journal of Agricultural Economics 2022(00): 1-20COVID-19 in rural Africa: Food access disruptions, foodinsecurity and coping strategies in Kenya, Namibia, and Tanzania Tabe-Ojong, M. P. J., Gebrekidan, B. H., Nshakira-Rukundo, E., Börner, J., Heckelei, T. (2022): Agricultural Economics 2022: 1-20Within-retailer price dispersion in e-commerce: Prevalence, magnitude and determinants Fedoseeva, S., Irek, J. (2022): Q Open 2(qoac021): 1-20