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Faculty of Agriculture

You are here: ILR → Economic and Agricultural Policy → Research → Projects

Integrated Impact Assessment of an Increase in Biofuel Demand in Europe: The Economic and Technological Dimension

Project for IPTS/DG-JRC, Sevilla, Call for tender No. No J05/32/2008

Overview

• The main task of the project is to improve the analytical capacities for quantitative assessment of first and second generation bio-fuels production in Europe on agricultural markets, farm income and the environment, based on an extension of the CAPRI modelling system. The extended system will then be applied for impact assessment of bio-fuel policies. The project encompasses the following sub-tasks:.
• Development of a biofuel component for CAPRI which includes European biofuel supply and global trade
• Integration of a response surface of the energy model PRIMES in CAPRI to derive endogenous biofuel demand
• Reference run for 2020 and counterfactual scenarios to test new system
• Project period: 01/2009-04/2010

Contribution of ILR to the project

1. Adaptation of the agricultural sector model CAPRI to cover the European biofuel market

• Integration of bio-ethanol and bio-diesel in the global market model of CAPRI
• Definition of suitable behavioral function for biofuel processing to derive endogenous biofuel feedstock demand
• Development of a first prototype module for second generation biofuels

2. Linking of the CAPRI model with an energy model PRIMES

• Estimation of a response surface from existing PRIMES simulation results
• Integration of the response surface into CAPRI
• Discussion of suitable biofuel scenarios with the PRIMES team

3. Scenario analysis

• Implementation of suitable biofuel scenarios for 2020 and 2030 in line with requirements of the EU Commission (IPTS)
• Scenario runs with the new developed CAPRI biofuel module and analysis of results

Partners

• Institute for Food and Resource Economicis, Chair of Economic and Agricultural Policy, University Bonn (co-ordinator)
• Athens University, Institute of Communication and Computer Systems (ICCS)

Publications related to the project

Wolfgang Britz and T. Hertel: Impacts of EU biofuels directives on global markets and EU environmental quality: An integrated PE, global CGE analysis , Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment , p. in press Link...

Arno Becker, Marcel Adenäuer and M. Blanco Fonseca: Impacts of European biofuel policies on agricultural markets and environment under consideration of 2nd generation technologies and international trade , selected paper presented at the IATRC Public Trade Policy Research and Analysis Symposium "Climate Change in World Agriculture: Mitigation, Adaptation, Trade and Food Security," June 27 - 29, 2010, Universität Hohenheim, Stuttgart (Germany)

Wolfgang Britz and T. Hertel: Impacts of EU biofuels directives on global markets and EU environmental quality: An integrated PE, global CGE analysis , in: Integrated Assessment of Agriculture and Sustainable Development (AgSAP), 10-12 March, 2009, Egmont an Zee (The Netherlands) , p. 144-145

Current project team in Bonn

• Arno Becker

• Marcel Adenäuer

• Heinz Peter Witzke

• Wolfgang Britz

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Last Updated:Thursday, January 05, 2017

News

Courses summer term 2019

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New FAO report on international trade, climate change and food security - with contributions from former and current team members

Economic and Agricultural Policy Group is involved in the funded PhenoRob Cluster of Excellence

Vacancies

Recent publications

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• Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 °C target Frank, S., Havlik, P., Stehfest, E., van Meijl, H., Witzke, H.-P., Pèrez Dominguez, I., van Dijk, M., Doelman, J. C., Fellmann, T., Koopman, J. F. L., Tabeau, A., Valin, H. (2019): Nature Climate Change 9: 66-72.
• Effect of mineral fertilizer on rain water and radiation use efficiencies for maize yield and stover biomass productivity in Ethiopia Srivastava, A. K., Mboh, C. M., Gaiser, T., Kuhn, A., Engida, E., Ewert, F. (2019): Agricultural Systems 168: 88-100.
• Assessing Sustainable Food and Nutrition Security of the EU Food System—An Integrated Approach Zurek, M., Hebinck, A., Leip, A., Vervoort, J., Kuiper, M., Garrone, M., Havlik, P., Heckelei, T., Hornborg, S., Ingram, J. S., Kuijsten, A., Shutes, L., Geleijnse, J. M., Terluin, I., van´t Veer, P., Wijnands, J., Zimmermann, A., Achterbosch, T. (2018): Sustainability 10(11)(4271): pp. 1-16.
• Explaining farm structural change in the European agriculture: a novel analytical framework Neuenfeldt, S., Gocht, A., Heckelei, T., Ciaian, P. (2018): European Review of Agricultural Economics jby037: pp. 1-56.
• Brexit: an economy-wide impact assessment on trade, immigration, and foreign direct investment Jafari, Y., Britz, W. (2018): Empirica: 1-36.
• Heterogeneous impacts of neighbouring farm size on the decision to exit: evidence from Brittany Saint-Cyr, L. D. F., Storm, H., Heckelei, T., Piet, L. (2018): European Review of Agricultural Economics jby029: pp. 1-30.
• Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy Hasegawa, T., Fujimori, S., Havlik, P., Valin, H., Bodirsky, B. L., Doelman, J. C., Fellmann, T., Kyle, P., Koopman, J. F. L., Lotze-Campen, H., Mason-D Croz, D., Ochi, Y., Pèrez Dominguez, I., Stehfest, E., Sulser, T. B., Tabeau, A., Takahashi, K., Takakura, J. y., van Meijl, H., van Zeist, W.-J., Wiebe, K., Witzke, H.-P. (2018):
  Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy, Nature Climate Change 8: 699-703.
• Are maize marketers averse to quality loss in supplies? A case study from Ghana Bassey, N. E., Kuhn, A., Storm, H. (2018):
  "Are maize marketers averse to quality loss in supplies? A case study from Ghana", Agricultural Economics
• Tracking the Quality Premium of Certified Coffee: Evidence from Ethiopia Minten, B., Dereje, M., Engida, E., Tamru, S. (2018):
  "Tracking the Quality Premium of Certified Coffee: Evidence from Ethiopia", World Development 101: 119-132
• Modelling heterogeneous firms and non-tariff measures in free trade agreements using Computable General Equilibrium Jafari, Y., Britz, W. (2018):
  "Modelling heterogeneous firms and non-tariff measures in free trade agreements using Computable General Equilibrium", Economic Modelling
• Reducing omitted-variable bias in spatial-interaction models by considering multiple neighbourhoods Storm, H., Heckelei, T. (2018):
  "Reducing omitted-variable bias in spatial-interaction models by considering multiple neighbourhoods", Spatial Economic Analysis
• Does the current trade liberalization agenda contribute to greenhouse gas emission mitigation in agriculture? Himics, M., Fellmann, T., Barreiro-Hurle, J., Witzke, H.-P., Perez Dominguez, I., Jansson, T., Weiss, F.(2018):
  "Does the current trade liberalization agenda contribute to greenhouse gas emission mitigation in agriculture?", Food Policy article in press
• Major challenges of integrating agriculture into climate change mitigation policy frameworks Fellmann, T., Witzke, H.-P., Weiss, F., van Doorslaer, B., Dusan, D., Huck, I., Salputra, G., Jansson, T., Leip, A. (2018):
  "Major challenges of integrating agriculture into climate change mitigation policy frameworks", Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 23(3), pp 451-468
• Metrics, models and foresight for European sustainable food and nutrition security: The vision of the SUSFANS project Rutten, M., Achterbosch, T., de Boer, I., Crespo Cuaresma, J., Geleijnse, M., Havlik, P., Heckelei, T., Ingram, J. S., Leip, A., Marette, S., van Meijl, H., Soler, L. -G., Swinnen, J. F., van't Veer, P., Vervoort, J., Zimmermann, A., Zimmermann, K. and Zurek, M. (2018):
  "Metrics, models and foresight for European sustainable food and nutrition security: The vision of the SUSFANS project", Agricultural Systems 163, pp.45-57