Economic and Agricultural Policy

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Overview
Contribution of ILR to the project
Staff at ILR working on the project

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Institute for Food and Resource Economics

Faculty of Agriculture

University Bonn

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Integrated Impact Assessment of an Increase in Biofuel Demand in Europe: The Economic and Technological Dimension

Project for IPTS/DG-JRC, Sevilla, Call for tender No. No J05/32/2008

Overview

The main task of the project is to improve the analytical capacities for quantitative assessment of first and second generation bio-fuels production in Europe on agricultural markets, farm income and the environment, based on an extension of the CAPRI modelling system. The extended system will then be applied for impact assessment of bio-fuel policies. The project encompasses the following sub-tasks:.

Development of a biofuel component for CAPRI which includes European biofuel supply and global trade
Integration of a response surface of the energy model PRIMES in CAPRI to derive endogenous biofuel demand
Reference run for 2020 and counterfactual scenarios to test new system

Project period: 01/2009-04/2010

Contribution of ILR to the project

Adaptation of the agricultural sector model CAPRI to cover the European biofuel market

Integration of bio-ethanol and bio-diesel in the global market model of CAPRI
Definition of suitable behavioral function for biofuel processing to derive endogenous biofuel feedstock demand
Development of a first prototype module for second generation biofuels

Linking of the CAPRI model with an energy model PRIMES

Estimation of a response surface from existing PRIMES simulation results
Integration of the response surface into CAPRI
Discussion of suitable biofuel scenarios with the PRIMES team

Scenario analysis

Implementation of suitable biofuel scenarios for 2020 and 2030 in line with requirements of the EU Commission (IPTS)
Scenario runs with the new developed CAPRI biofuel module and analysis of results

Partners

Institute for Food and Resource Economicis, Chair of Economic and Agricultural Policy, University Bonn (co-ordinator)
Athens University, Institute of Communication and Computer Systems (ICCS)

Publications related to the project

Wolfgang Britz and T. Hertel: Impacts of EU biofuels directives on global markets and EU environmental quality: An integrated PE, global CGE analysis , Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment , p. in press Link...

Arno Becker, Marcel Adenäuer and M. Blanco Fonseca: Impacts of European biofuel policies on agricultural markets and environment under consideration of 2nd generation technologies and international trade , selected paper presented at the IATRC Public Trade Policy Research and Analysis Symposium "Climate Change in World Agriculture: Mitigation, Adaptation, Trade and Food Security," June 27 - 29, 2010, Universität Hohenheim, Stuttgart (Germany)

Wolfgang Britz and T. Hertel: Impacts of EU biofuels directives on global markets and EU environmental quality: An integrated PE, global CGE analysis , in: Integrated Assessment of Agriculture and Sustainable Development (AgSAP), 10-12 March, 2009, Egmont an Zee (The Netherlands) , p. 144-145

Current project team in Bonn

Last Updated:Thursday, January 05, 2017

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Winner of the 2019 Outstanding ERAE journal article:
Neuenfeldt, S., Gocht, A., Heckelei, T., Ciaian, P. (2019): Explaining farm structural change in the European agriculture: a novel analytical framework, European Review of Agricultural Economics 46(5): 713-768.

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